South III

This group includes the districts of Nabatieh Bint Jbeil, Marjayoun and Hasbaya, the last two being predominantly Druze, as well as Baalbeck-Hermel and Rachaya-West Bekaa. However, the electoral configuration is not quite the same as in South II, due in particular to the presence of a Sunni-Druze-Christian island in the Marjayoun-Hasbaya area. Therefore, on paper at least, the rule of the Amal-Hezbollah alliance is not as absolute as elsewhere. To this, it must be added that the Communist Party retains a significant base in many Shiite localities in the region.

The results of 2018 elections show that if, instead of the five lists that participated in the election against the steamroller of the two Shiite parties, there was only one, at least one electoral coefficient would have escaped this tandem and there would have been one less seat won by Hezbollah or Amal.

But this is purely an arithmetic speculation, as the ability to form a unified and solid list against the Shiite tandem on its own land is not easy, for obvious security and other reasons. Sectarian and partisan egoism, rivalries between allies and, more generally, the political fragmentation of the country hardly facilitate the dynamics of unity, and this is visible everywhere, even in the ranks of the protest movement.