North II

This large constituency is made up of the districts of Tripoli and Minyeh-Dinnieh and comprises 11 seats distributed as follows:

- Tripoli: eight seats (five Sunni, one Alawite, one Maronite, one Greek Orthodox).

- Minyeh-Dinnieh: three Sunni seats.

The city of Tripoli was at the heart of the protest movement of Oct. 17, 2019. Many will recall the huge popular gatherings that filled its public squares. What’s left of this mobilization during the legislative elections of May 15? It is still early to tell, but the fact is that few credible figures have emerged from the movement.

In the meantime, the withdrawal of the main Tripolitan political leadership figures from the elections — i.e., essentially Hariri and perhaps also the supporters of Prime Minister Najib Mikati, both winners in the 2018 elections (when the Future took five seats; Mikati, four seats; and those close to March 8, Hezbollah’s allies, two seats) leaves the situation open to all possibilities.

Former Minister of Justice Ashraf Rifi, who takes a radical attitude towards Hezbollah, could benefit from this withdrawal, as could the Sunnis of March 8 or the Islamist movements.