Mount Lebanon I

This constituency, which includes the Kesrouan and Jbeil districts, will be one of the strongholds in the battle between Gebran Bassil's FPM and Samir Geagea's Lebanese Forces.

Of the eight seats in the constituency (seven Maronite and one Shiite), the FPM and its allies had won four in 2018; the LF two; and the independent Farid Haykal Khazen (who joined Sleiman Frangieh's Marada bloc) won two as well, including the Shiite seat of Jbeil. This seat thus escaped both the candidates of the FPM and the one supported by Hezbollah, whose list did not secure the electoral threshold in this constituency.

This year, the FPM and Hezbollah seem to have agreed that the Shiite seat would go to Hezbollah in exchange for a Christian seat in Baalbeck-Hermel for the FPM. But with this gain, Bassil's party can no longer count on the alliance with the businessman Nehmat Frem, nor with the ex-officer Chamel Roukoz, who is a son-in-law of President Michel Aoun like Bassil but is a declared opponent of the latter.

The battle is therefore very open in a region where, especially in Kesrouan, family considerations play an even more important role than political affiliations.