Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa shakes hands with U.S. diplomat Tom Barrack before their meeting at the People's Palace in Damascus, May 16, 2026. (Credit: SANA/AFP)
The 2024 war, centered on Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, led to the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, triggering a geostrategic upheaval across the entire region. The 2026 war against Iran and Hezbollah will also produce further transformations, raising questions about their nature and consequences.The U.S.-Iran talks resemble the Israel-Lebanon negotiations. So far, they seem neither productive nor truly effective on the ground, and they do not change the positions of the parties involved. More from Mounir Cease-fire: Between Tel Aviv’s refusal and Beirut’s insistence, Washington pushes for a return to pre-March 2026 status quo In Lebanon, Washington and Tel Aviv seek to negotiate with the Lebanese state by multiplying promises and incentives in order to separate its position from that of Hezbollah and isolate the latter, which...
The 2024 war, centered on Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, led to the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, triggering a geostrategic upheaval across the entire region. The 2026 war against Iran and Hezbollah will also produce further transformations, raising questions about their nature and consequences.The U.S.-Iran talks resemble the Israel-Lebanon negotiations. So far, they seem neither productive nor truly effective on the ground, and they do not change the positions of the parties involved. More from Mounir Cease-fire: Between Tel Aviv’s refusal and Beirut’s insistence, Washington pushes for a return to pre-March 2026 status quo In Lebanon, Washington and Tel Aviv seek to negotiate with the Lebanese state by multiplying promises and incentives in order to separate its position from that of Hezbollah and isolate the latter,...
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