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ANALYSIS

The Israel-Iran war has been declared. And now?

From where we stand today, there appear to be three possible scenarios.

The Israel-Iran war has been declared. And now?

This photo taken from Nuseirat in the center of the Gaza Strip shows rocket trails in the sky late in the evening of June 13, 2025, after Iran struck Israel with salvos of missiles following a massive attack targeting the nuclear and military installations of the Islamic Republic. (Credit: Eyad Baba/AFP)

This conflict did not begin in those early hours of Friday morning. The war between Israel and Iran has been playing out in the shadows for decades. The fight against Israel is one of the pillars of the Islamic Republic's ideology, and Israel has considered Iran the biggest threat to its security since the 90s. This animosity took on another dimension after Oct. 7, 2023, as Israel became increasingly determined to destroy the Iranian axis and confident it could reshape the region's political landscape.And now, with Friday's attack, this simmering war has entered a new phase, taking the entire region with it. The conflict has become direct and nearly all encompassing, with the limits of what this implies for two powers separated by three countries and two thousand kilometers.After suffering a severe blow, Iran demonstrated that it was...
This conflict did not begin in those early hours of Friday morning. The war between Israel and Iran has been playing out in the shadows for decades. The fight against Israel is one of the pillars of the Islamic Republic's ideology, and Israel has considered Iran the biggest threat to its security since the 90s. This animosity took on another dimension after Oct. 7, 2023, as Israel became increasingly determined to destroy the Iranian axis and confident it could reshape the region's political landscape.And now, with Friday's attack, this simmering war has entered a new phase, taking the entire region with it. The conflict has become direct and nearly all encompassing, with the limits of what this implies for two powers separated by three countries and two thousand kilometers.After suffering a severe blow, Iran demonstrated that it was...
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