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State arms monopoly, deal with Israel: Hezbollah loses ground among Lebanon’s Shiites

A Statistics Lebanon poll reveals growing distrust among Shiites over Hezbollah’s strategic choices after three years of war.

State arms monopoly, deal with Israel: Hezbollah loses ground among Lebanon’s Shiites

A man walks past a portrait of Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem during municipal elections in Sour, southern Lebanon, on May 24, 2025. (Credit: Matthieu Karam/L’Orient-Le Jour)

Three years after the Gaza war began and Hezbollah launched its war with Israel from Lebanon, the militia and political party appears to be losing more support than ever within its community, amid fears that hostilities could soon resume. Handing over its arsenal to the Lebanese state, a deal with Israel, unmet war aims: An opinion poll conducted by Statistics Lebanon in September reveals shifts in Lebanese Shiite opinion on Hezbollah as large swaths of the South lie in ruins after being razed by the Israeli army and thousands of displaced people remain without shelter in a country already in tatters. Zoom out Lebanon: What's really at stake? In Lebanon, where the last population census was conducted in 1932, gauging political opinion within religious communities is never easy. That is especially true of Hezbollah’s base at a time...
Three years after the Gaza war began and Hezbollah launched its war with Israel from Lebanon, the militia and political party appears to be losing more support than ever within its community, amid fears that hostilities could soon resume. Handing over its arsenal to the Lebanese state, a deal with Israel, unmet war aims: An opinion poll conducted by Statistics Lebanon in September reveals shifts in Lebanese Shiite opinion on Hezbollah as large swaths of the South lie in ruins after being razed by the Israeli army and thousands of displaced people remain without shelter in a country already in tatters. Zoom out Lebanon: What's really at stake? In Lebanon, where the last population census was conducted in 1932, gauging political opinion within religious communities is never easy. That is especially true of Hezbollah’s base at a...
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