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Will the war against Iran be long? Different scenarios for resolving the crisis

The regional flare-up ushers in a period of major uncertainty. What paths could lead to de-escalation?

Will the war against Iran be long? Different scenarios for resolving the crisis

A plume of smoke rises above a building hit by a missile strike in Tehran, on March 1, 2026. (Credit: Atta Kenare/AFP)

Since the morning of Feb. 28, 2026, unprecedented developments have been unfolding at lightning speed across the Middle East. Within hours, Washington and Tel Aviv launched a war against Iran, striking the regime at its very top, including the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Big picture How the ‘Axis of Resistance’ hastened its downfall The Gulf has become a theater of war, and many fear that this chain of events could mark a very costly turning point for the entire region.Amid this escalation, full of uncertainties, four possible scenarios are emerging for how the crisis might be resolved.Article not found.Scenario 1: Iran manages to impose such a high cost of war that Washington would be compelled to retreatThis is Iran’s gamble at this stage. Images from the Gulf countries are unprecedented, delivering a symbolic...
Since the morning of Feb. 28, 2026, unprecedented developments have been unfolding at lightning speed across the Middle East. Within hours, Washington and Tel Aviv launched a war against Iran, striking the regime at its very top, including the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Big picture How the ‘Axis of Resistance’ hastened its downfall The Gulf has become a theater of war, and many fear that this chain of events could mark a very costly turning point for the entire region.Amid this escalation, full of uncertainties, four possible scenarios are emerging for how the crisis might be resolved.Article not found.Scenario 1: Iran manages to impose such a high cost of war that Washington would be compelled to retreatThis is Iran’s gamble at this stage. Images from the Gulf countries are unprecedented, delivering a...
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