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ANALYSIS

On the ground, is Hezbollah fighting for its own survival — and Iran’s?

It is impossible to predict how far the Israelis will go if Hezbollah’s defenses were to collapse.

On the ground, is Hezbollah fighting for its own survival — and Iran’s?

A fire on the Lebanese side of the border between Lebanon and Israel, seen from the southern side, following an Israeli bombardment on Sept. 30, 2024. (Credit: Jalaa Marey/AFP)

Hezbollah and the rest of Iran’s allies within the “Axis of Resistance” have always served as the first line of defense for Tehran.But today, it is Iran that finds itself compelled to intervene, launching missiles from its own territory to protect its allies. The Iranians fear that Israel might advance its war from one front to the next, ultimately targeting Tehran as part of a clear, U.S.-backed plan that began in Gaza, moved to Lebanon, and could soon extend to other regions.Iran is thus betting on Hezbollah’s ability to hold firm against Israel’s ground offensive and to inflict significant losses on its army, which would strengthen the axis’ position in any ceasefire negotiations, while sparing Iran from a direct confrontation. Read more Five days after the Iranian missile attack, the Israeli retaliation becomes clearer For now,...
Hezbollah and the rest of Iran’s allies within the “Axis of Resistance” have always served as the first line of defense for Tehran.But today, it is Iran that finds itself compelled to intervene, launching missiles from its own territory to protect its allies. The Iranians fear that Israel might advance its war from one front to the next, ultimately targeting Tehran as part of a clear, U.S.-backed plan that began in Gaza, moved to Lebanon, and could soon extend to other regions.Iran is thus betting on Hezbollah’s ability to hold firm against Israel’s ground offensive and to inflict significant losses on its army, which would strengthen the axis’ position in any ceasefire negotiations, while sparing Iran from a direct confrontation. Read more Five days after the Iranian missile attack, the Israeli retaliation becomes clearer ...