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ANALYSIS

Regional war: Can Sharaa intervene in Lebanon?

Syria says it has deployed forces to the borders to stay out of the conflict. But for Hezbollah, there might be something more going on.

Regional war: Can Sharaa intervene in Lebanon?

The Iranian embassy in Damascus looted by protesters after the fall of the Assad regime, Dec. 8, 2024. (Archive photo: Omar Haj Kadour/AFP)

Since the start of the regional war, thousands of Syrian soldiers have been deployed to the borders with Lebanon and Iraq, a move that supports Hezbollah’s narrative that Ahmad al-Sharaa's regime in Syria is waiting for the right moment to intervene in Lebanon. The goal would be to punish the militia — or even the entire Shiite community — for its support of the former Bashar al-Assad regime, but also to satisfy potential expansionist ambitions. Within Hezbollah circles, it is asserted that Sharaa wishes to take advantage of the current situation. Indeed, Hezbollah appears exposed before the Israeli war machine since its decision to join the hostilities alongside Iran. It is also increasingly isolated on the political scene, to the point of being disavowed by part of its own base. However, in Syria, officials keep reiterating their...
Since the start of the regional war, thousands of Syrian soldiers have been deployed to the borders with Lebanon and Iraq, a move that supports Hezbollah’s narrative that Ahmad al-Sharaa's regime in Syria is waiting for the right moment to intervene in Lebanon. The goal would be to punish the militia — or even the entire Shiite community — for its support of the former Bashar al-Assad regime, but also to satisfy potential expansionist ambitions. Within Hezbollah circles, it is asserted that Sharaa wishes to take advantage of the current situation. Indeed, Hezbollah appears exposed before the Israeli war machine since its decision to join the hostilities alongside Iran. It is also increasingly isolated on the political scene, to the point of being disavowed by part of its own base. However, in Syria, officials keep reiterating...
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