Search
Search

ANALYSIS

Risk of regional war: Why it is different this time

To “win” this sequence, the main belligerents are seemingly ready to take more risks than in their last tug-of-war.

Risk of regional war: Why it is different this time

A giant poster on the airport road showing three members of the "Axis of Resistance" who have been assassinated, with the words "We will take revenge." From left to right: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, Iranian general Kassem Soleimani and Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukur. (Credit: Ibrahim Amro/AFP)

Journalists, analysts and diplomats have been talking about the risk of a full-scale regional war for nearly ten months. By dint of crying wolf, nobody is believing it anymore.But the situation is different this time. Feelings of fear, sometimes even panic, are more elusive. They are particularly linked to the fact that the U.S., France and Britain have called on their citizens to leave Lebanon as soon as possible. Is it a sign that war is inevitable? Not yet. But the risk has never been higher since Oct. 7.Neither Iran, nor the U.S., nor Israel want to get involved in a major regional conflict today. It seems that this factor has not changed much since the last major Iran-Israel escalation in April, following the airstrike on the Iranian embassy complex in Damascus. The thing that sparks more concerns, however, is that the main...
Journalists, analysts and diplomats have been talking about the risk of a full-scale regional war for nearly ten months. By dint of crying wolf, nobody is believing it anymore.But the situation is different this time. Feelings of fear, sometimes even panic, are more elusive. They are particularly linked to the fact that the U.S., France and Britain have called on their citizens to leave Lebanon as soon as possible. Is it a sign that war is inevitable? Not yet. But the risk has never been higher since Oct. 7.Neither Iran, nor the U.S., nor Israel want to get involved in a major regional conflict today. It seems that this factor has not changed much since the last major Iran-Israel escalation in April, following the airstrike on the Iranian embassy complex in Damascus. The thing that sparks more concerns, however, is that the main...
Comments (0) Comment

Comments (0)

Back to top