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Iran and the Gulf: What will be the future modus vivendi?

The Israeli-American war launched against Tehran has reshuffled the regional deck, exacerbating the Iranian threat and deepening fault lines between the oil monarchies.

Iran and the Gulf: What will be the future modus vivendi?

A man walks past a mural depicting the Iranian flag, on which the word Allah, usually stylized in the center, has been transformed into a missile, on May 10, 2026. (Credit: Atta Kenare/AFP)

“The Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani; the Saudi crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman; and the president of the United Arab Emirates, Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, have asked me to suspend our planned military attack on the Islamic Republic, scheduled for tomorrow,” Donald Trump announced Monday, May 18, on his Truth Social network.The Gulf countries, which had initially tried to prevent the confrontation between Iran and the United States, fear that a resumption of war will threaten their strategic interests. The oil monarchies have been on the front line of strikes by Iran and its proxies, as well as experiencing the consequences of the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz. While they appeared for a time to support the Israeli-American offensive in hopes that the Iranian regime might fall, most are now calling for...
“The Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani; the Saudi crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman; and the president of the United Arab Emirates, Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, have asked me to suspend our planned military attack on the Islamic Republic, scheduled for tomorrow,” Donald Trump announced Monday, May 18, on his Truth Social network.The Gulf countries, which had initially tried to prevent the confrontation between Iran and the United States, fear that a resumption of war will threaten their strategic interests. The oil monarchies have been on the front line of strikes by Iran and its proxies, as well as experiencing the consequences of the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz. While they appeared for a time to support the Israeli-American offensive in hopes that the Iranian regime might fall, most are now calling for...
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