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Potential Washington-Tehran deal: Echoes of the past under a new formula

One major element also stands out from the deal: neither Iran’s ballistic missiles nor its regional influence would be explicitly addressed.

Potential Washington-Tehran deal: Echoes of the past under a new formula

This photo provided by the US Navy and published on May 7, 2026 by the US Central Command Public Affairs Service shows the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77) sailing in the Arabian Sea on May 3, 2026. (Credit: US Navy/AFP)

The scenario is starting to feel familiar. The United States leaks a new proposal to the media — conveyed to Tehran through Pakistani mediation. U.S. President Donald Trump threatens to strike Iran if it refuses. Tehran takes time to assess the offer before responding with a counterproposal. Washington then ramps up economic pressure through new measures that could bring the cease-fire to an end. Then, faced with the risk of escalation and rising energy prices, international actors step in to prevent a complete breakdown. And the cycle begins again.The question is whether this sequence will, this time, genuinely lead to an agreement, or whether negotiations will remain trapped in the same pattern.This repetition reflects above all one reality: neither the United States nor Iran has managed to break out of the military and economic...
The scenario is starting to feel familiar. The United States leaks a new proposal to the media — conveyed to Tehran through Pakistani mediation. U.S. President Donald Trump threatens to strike Iran if it refuses. Tehran takes time to assess the offer before responding with a counterproposal. Washington then ramps up economic pressure through new measures that could bring the cease-fire to an end. Then, faced with the risk of escalation and rising energy prices, international actors step in to prevent a complete breakdown. And the cycle begins again.The question is whether this sequence will, this time, genuinely lead to an agreement, or whether negotiations will remain trapped in the same pattern.This repetition reflects above all one reality: neither the United States nor Iran has managed to break out of the military and economic...
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