The village of Mjadel, in southern Lebanon, after an Israeli airstrike, Dec. 4, 2025. (Credit: Kawant Haju/AFP)
“Will Israel strike today?” At a time when Lebanon has been living for more than two years under the rhythm of bombings that have caused thousands of deaths and injuries, online platforms turned this war into a real casino.On one of these platforms, Polymarket, over $8 million has been poured into a grim betting system that allows users to predict, daily, whether Israel will carry out an air strike on Lebanese territory or not.Users of these prediction market platforms are betting not only on the dates but also on the locations of Israeli strikes, with specific wagers on attacks targeting Beirut and its suburbs. Meanwhile... Israeli escalation kills at least 2, sends message to Berri This monetization of war raises moral questions and could also be linked to more troubling issues.For instance, shortly before a series of strikes on...
“Will Israel strike today?” At a time when Lebanon has been living for more than two years under the rhythm of bombings that have caused thousands of deaths and injuries, online platforms turned this war into a real casino.On one of these platforms, Polymarket, over $8 million has been poured into a grim betting system that allows users to predict, daily, whether Israel will carry out an air strike on Lebanese territory or not.Users of these prediction market platforms are betting not only on the dates but also on the locations of Israeli strikes, with specific wagers on attacks targeting Beirut and its suburbs. Meanwhile... Israeli escalation kills at least 2, sends message to Berri This monetization of war raises moral questions and could also be linked to more troubling issues.For instance, shortly before a series of strikes...
