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ANALYSIS

Israel-Iran war: Trump steps in, but what next?

With or without U.S. intervention, how long will it take for the Islamic Republic to accept its defeat?

Israel-Iran war: Trump steps in, but what next?

A message addressed to American President Donald Trump, stating "Mr. President, finish the job," is visible in Tel Aviv on June 18, 2025. Gil Cohen-Magen/AFP

The night was once again short in the Middle East. The possibility that the United States may soon enter the war against Iran alongside Israel revived fears of regional escalation, although the conflict is relatively "localized" for the time being.After six days of war, the parameters are clearer, even though the outcome remains uncertain. The imbalance of forces is such that the Iranian regime will never be able to reverse it. At best, it can hold on, hoping to present this "resistance" as a victory. While opening the door to diplomatic negotiations, Iran simultaneously prepares for a long war by conserving its stock of ballistic missiles (about 2,000), given that it has no other viable options. The Islamic Republic seems to be betting that both U.S. President Donald Trump and the Israeli population will not tolerate a prolonged war and...
The night was once again short in the Middle East. The possibility that the United States may soon enter the war against Iran alongside Israel revived fears of regional escalation, although the conflict is relatively "localized" for the time being.After six days of war, the parameters are clearer, even though the outcome remains uncertain. The imbalance of forces is such that the Iranian regime will never be able to reverse it. At best, it can hold on, hoping to present this "resistance" as a victory. While opening the door to diplomatic negotiations, Iran simultaneously prepares for a long war by conserving its stock of ballistic missiles (about 2,000), given that it has no other viable options. The Islamic Republic seems to be betting that both U.S. President Donald Trump and the Israeli population will not tolerate a prolonged war...
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