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INTERVIEW

'It is very unlikely that the Iranian regime will collapse'

Historian Peyman Jafari, an expert on Iranian politics and revolutions, does not believe the Islamic Republic will collapse by force.

'It is very unlikely that the Iranian regime will collapse'

The Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi meets with foreign country ambassadors in Tehran on June 15, 2025. Israel and Iran exchanged heavy fire for the third consecutive day on June 15. (Credit: Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs/AFP)

Israel's stated goal is to “prevent” Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, but the scale of its offensive and the targets it's attacking, amid what is already dubbed the Israel-Iran war, reveal its true intention: regime change in Iran. It's unlikely Israel would succeed at this project, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has pushed for for years, without the Iranian public mobilizing in the streets and Iranian opposition groups organizing themselves as a viable alternative. Although some sections within the Iranian population were pleased to see the oppressive Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hit hard by Israel, the end of the Iranian regime is far from materializing, explains historian Peyman Jafari, an expert on politics and social movements in Iran.L'Orient-Le Jour: How do you assess the risk of the...
Israel's stated goal is to “prevent” Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, but the scale of its offensive and the targets it's attacking, amid what is already dubbed the Israel-Iran war, reveal its true intention: regime change in Iran. It's unlikely Israel would succeed at this project, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has pushed for for years, without the Iranian public mobilizing in the streets and Iranian opposition groups organizing themselves as a viable alternative. Although some sections within the Iranian population were pleased to see the oppressive Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hit hard by Israel, the end of the Iranian regime is far from materializing, explains historian Peyman Jafari, an expert on politics and social movements in Iran.L'Orient-Le Jour: How do you assess the risk of the...
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