Emile Hokayem: ‘The Gulf states face a strategic dilemma’
While the consequences of the US disengagement, the war in Ukraine and the Saudi-Iranian détente are partly reshuffling the cards of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, intra-Gulf competition is accelerating against a backdrop of rivalry between the two reformist rulers, United Arab Emirates President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed and Saudi Prime Minister and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS).
Emile Hokayem, the director of regional security and senior fellow for Middle East security at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, spoke to L’Orient-Le Jour about the implications of these internal and external changes.
Emile Hokayem, director of regional studies and the Middle East program at the International Institute for Strategic Studies. (Credit: DR)
The international and regional scene is undergoing a major reconfiguration. How are the Gulf states positioning themselves in this process?They see more opportunities than risks. They believe that the unipolar era is over, and that they must at all costs avoid a bipolar era that will force them to make major geostrategic and geo-economic choices. So it is better to start working towards a multipolar world now, particularly since they each want to be one of these poles. In this transition, they focus on developing their relations and strategic partnerships with the major and medium-sized powers, and are devoting enormous resources to it. While the rest of the Arab world remains entangled in untractable political, social, economic and security problems, they want to avoid being drawn into this vortex or limited by this unstable...
The international and regional scene is undergoing a major reconfiguration. How are the Gulf states positioning themselves in this process?They see more opportunities than risks. They believe that the unipolar era is over, and that they must at all costs avoid a bipolar era that will force them to make major geostrategic and geo-economic choices. So it is better to start working towards a multipolar world now, particularly since they each want to be one of these poles. In this transition, they focus on developing their relations and strategic partnerships with the major and medium-sized powers, and are devoting enormous resources to it. While the rest of the Arab world remains entangled in untractable political, social, economic and security problems, they want to avoid being drawn into this vortex or limited by this unstable...
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